𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐊𝐢𝐬𝐦𝐚𝐲𝐨 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐞́: 𝐀 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐏𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐒𝐨𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐢

𝐂𝐫𝐨𝐬𝐬𝐫𝐨𝐚𝐝𝐬 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐬: 𝐀 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬

𝐁𝐲 𝐒𝐚𝐢𝐝 𝐍𝐨𝐨𝐫

𝐃𝐞𝐜𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝟐𝟎, 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓 – 𝐊𝐢𝐬𝐦𝐚𝐲𝐨

The 𝐒𝐨𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐢 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐢𝐥 held a high-level political conference in Kismayo from December 18 to 20, 2025. The meeting brought together people from both houses of the Federal Parliament, former national leaders, politicians from inside and outside Somalia, and civil society groups.

The meeting concluded with a lengthy communiqué (Warmurtiyeed) that expresses great concern about Somalia's political direction and proposes clear solutions for political, constitutional, and security issues.

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𝟏. 𝐀𝐧 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐒𝐨𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐚’𝐬 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐂𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐢𝐬

The Communiqué makes it clear that Somalia is in the middle of a national crisis on many levels: political, constitutional, security, economic, and humanitarian.

The conference said that the current federal government has:

• Did not uphold constitutional governance

• Political polarization has gotten worse

• Weakened federalism and the independence of institutions

• Put the country in a state of long-term uncertainty and stagnation

The communiqué states that poor leadership has made the country less united and placed additional strain on Somalia's fragile political order.

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𝟐. 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐚𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐥𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐚𝐜𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐯𝐢𝐨𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧

The Communiqué emphasizes the breach of the Provisional Constitution (2012). The conference says that the federal government is to blame for:

• Weakening the separation of powers

• Disrupting constitutional institutions

• Governing hookups through unilateral choices instead of agreement

Most importantly, the conference says clearly that it will not extend any mandates:

• The House of the People will be in office until April 14, 2026

• The president’s term ends on May 15, 2026

Any extension beyond these dates is deemed unconstitutional, perilous, and a catalyst for increased instability.

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𝟑. 𝐒𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐛𝐥𝐞𝐦𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐓𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐓𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐦

The Communiqué talks about how security has gotten much worse, especially with the return of Al-Shabaab and ISIS.

The conference says that this return is directly related to:

• Failure of policy

• Bad coordination

• Uncertainty in leadership

According to the Communiqué, the result has been:

• More attacks

• Deaths of civilians

• Loss of faith in the public

• More room to operate for extremist groups

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𝟒. 𝐄𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐜 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐇𝐮𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐃𝐨𝐰𝐧𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧

The Communiqué talks about worsening economic and humanitarian conditions, in addition to politics and security. These include:

• Inflation and poverty are on the rise

• Destruction of resources in the country

• Weak systems for collecting taxes

• The state is unable to fulfill its fundamental responsibilities

The conference asserts that the failure of the elite in politics has left the Somali people bearing the consequences.

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𝟓. 𝐄𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬, 𝐅𝐞𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐦, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐁𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐫

The conference strongly supports elections that are open to everyone and obey the Constitution. It also warns against:

• One-sided electoral arrangements

• Making electoral bodies political

• Holding elections in the Banadir Region without national agreement

The Communiqué says that Federal Member States must be able to hold elections according to constitutional and agreed-upon rules, without any interference from the federal government.

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𝟔. 𝐀 𝐂𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐈𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧

One of the main resolutions calls for a full national political meeting to be held by January 20, 2026, at the latest. The meeting should aim to:

• Finding common ground on elections

• Staying away from a constitutional vacuum

• Stopping the breakdown of politics and security

The Communiqué cautions that in the absence of action, the Somali Future Council will need to undertake additional political measures to safeguard the rule of law.

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𝟕. 𝐀𝐬𝐤 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐒𝐨𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐢 𝐩𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐥𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐡𝐞𝐥𝐩

The Communiqué issues two urgent appeals:

To the people of Somalia:

• Protect the sovereignty of the nation

• Don't accept extremism

• Come together against terrorism

• Demand a government that follows the Constitution

To the world:

• Back solutions led by Somalis

• Don't allow unconstitutional extensions

• Put pressure on leaders to protect civilians and the democratic process

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𝟖. 𝐖𝐡𝐲 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐌𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐈𝐬 𝐈𝐦𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐭

This isn't just a political statement; it's a warning sign.

The Kismayo Communiqué shows that Somali politicians are starting to agree on the following:

• The current situation cannot last

• You can't just make up legitimacy

• Law, agreement, and responsibility are all necessary for stability

How Somalia's leaders and partners respond in the coming months will determine whether this document is a turning point or just another missed chance.

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𝐅𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬

The Kismayo Communiqué is a serious effort to steer Somalia away from constitutional breakdown and toward a legal political transition. It puts the blame squarely on leaders, institutions, and citizens.

Somalia is at a crossroads right now:
Whether it's the rule of law or the rule of delay, it's a matter of agreement or failure.